Part 03 · The shaft · AI Failure Predictor

A failure window, a confidence level and the evidence. Then you decide.

The AI Failure Predictor compares each machine's trends with its own history and with known failure patterns such as bearing wear, misalignment, unbalance and looseness. It estimates when a failure is likely and how sure it is.

AI Failure Predictor
ADVISORY

GB-3 output bearing 6312

Outer-race wear pattern

Confidence: medium-high

Likely failure window from today

Sun9-14 d
0102030 days

Evidence

  • Peak at outer-race defect frequency, 3.2x baseline
  • Bearing temperature up 8 °C over 14 days
  • Trend shape matches 2 past failures on this asset

Engineer decision

Raise work orderWatch 48 h moreDismiss with reason

Fault type

Bearing, alignment, unbalance

Window

Likely failure in days

Confidence

Low, medium, medium-high, high

What it does

AI Failure Predictor, part by part

Compares each machine's trends with its own history and known failure patterns, then estimates likely failures with a confidence level for engineers to judge.

AI-03.01

Machine-specific baselines

Each asset is judged against its own normal behaviour at its own load and speed.

AI-03.02

Fault pattern matching

Recognises common signatures: outer and inner race wear, misalignment, unbalance, looseness and cavitation.

AI-03.03

Failure window

Gives a range of days, not a single date, because real machines do not fail on schedule.

AI-03.04

Evidence shown

Lists the readings and frequencies that led to the prediction, so an engineer can check them.

AI-03.05

Suggested action

Proposes the likely repair and the next planned shutdown that fits the window.

AI-03.06

Learns from outcomes

When a job closes, the finding is fed back so the next prediction on that machine is sharper.

Sequence of operation

How it runs in your plant

  1. 1

    Watch

    Trends from Sensor Watch arrive every 10 minutes.

  2. 2

    Compare

    The model checks them against the machine's own history and known fault patterns.

  3. 3

    Advise

    A prediction appears with a window, confidence level and evidence.

  4. 4

    Decide

    An engineer raises a work order, chooses to watch longer or dismisses it with a reason.

Spec sheet

Learning period
About 14 days of readings per machine
Typical warning
Several days to several weeks before failure, depending on fault type
Confidence levels
Low, medium, medium-high, high
Output
Advisory only, never sent to machine controls
Feedback
Every closed job updates the model for that asset

Safety and responsible AI

  • AI predictions are advice with confidence levels. Maintenance engineers decide what to do and when.
  • Schafte never starts, stops or controls machines. It only reads data.
  • Machine data stays private to your company, is encrypted and is never sold.

Connected parts

INSPECTION TAGNO. 0005

Hang a tag on your first 5 machines.

Machines
5
Days free
60
Card needed
No

Signed: maintenance head, ____________

Control station

  • Start with sensors we rent you, or with PLC data you already have
  • Asset register, work orders and PM live in the first week
  • Your first AI baseline is ready after about 14 days of readings